A couple of weeks ago I wrote a piece about the various inadequacies of the election debate in terms of the bullshit coming from the right. At the time I promised to follow up within a week with things that pissed me off coming from the left. Then I got distracted. I realise that posting this now takes away some of the thunder, but better late than never.
The key issues in NBN policy for me are whether you need
to run cable across the entire country, including to remote communities (I
suspect it might be more efficient to pay for satellites uplinks for such
communities instead) and whether or not you should run cable into buildings or
just to the street corner. The issue is not speed. If a business needs 1000MBS
they can pay for it. Who other than massive firms need that kind of speed? We
don’t have virtual reality video games yet and the games we do have run fine at
1MBS. There is this simplistic dichotomy rolling around suggesting that the
coalition policy is just a crappy product now that will inevitably need to be
upgraded, while the Labor NBN is, in a sense, a build and forget piece of
infrastructure that will be good for decade, as though that is a good thing.
But overcapacity is intuitively bad.
We need to talk about whether we need that overcapacity and about the extent to
which the coalition supported network can be upgraded in a cheap and effective
manner or whether it will just involve grossly wasteful upgrading that requires
ripping out the existing infrastructure every decade. I’m not getting that
discussion from anyone.
Next up we have manufacturing. The attitude of Labor that
auto manufacturing is either a part of the cultural fabric of Australia and/or
an integral part of our economy is so much horseshit, and policies in this
area, namely increase the subsidies with no accountability, are pathetic. Now
granted, coalition rhetoric on this was equally dismal, but at least they have
the manufacturing transition fund. It is a measly 50million, while the
subsidies are in the billions, but at least there is some acknowledgement that
transition is in order. Australian car manufacturing is not competitive because
our labour is too expensive for the low skill required by this sort of
manufacturing, and other
countries pump more subsidies into their car industries than Australia. We have no comparative advantage in this area.
The most obvious policy would be to let our industry go bust and import cheap
foreign cars instead. Let other countries subsidies our car consumption!
Alternatively, we could gradually (over say, 3-5 years) move the industry
subsidy and our tariff protections across to a transition fund that helps
manufacturing workers retrain and relocate to industries where we do have a
comparative advantage (like renewable energy and pharmaceuticals) where they
could earn higher wages and not be a drag on the economy. I’m all for
humanitarian welfare policies as long as they aren’t just delaying the
inevitable. At the very least, subsidies to the car industry should be
predicated on the production of cars that people actually want. As everyone
moves to driving either hatchbacks or four wheel drives Holden continues to
produce falcons and commodores. There is no market, in Australia or overseas,
for large family Sedans, and where there is it is typically captured by heavily
subsidised domestic producers (like Chrysler).
The last thing I want to talk about on the left is
refugee policy. I’ve written about this at length elsewhere so I won’t go into
too much detail here. Labor failed to distance itself at all from the coalition
on this issue, which was the number 1 reason why I didn’t want to vote for them
(but who could resist Andrew Leigh’s resume). The Greens did distance
themselves, but in almost entirely unconstructive way. The ‘open door’ policy
they seem to espouse is farcical. There are legitimate security concerns and legitimate
concerns about Australia’s absorptive capacity that need to be met with well
thought out, robust policy if the Australian public is going to be able to get
behind a progressive, humanitarian policy towards refugees. Any such policy
needs to address assimilation (how much do we expect and how much do we need to
ensure harmony in coming decades), employment (we could certainly use more
labour but how do we encourage refugees to move to areas where jobs are
available, like country towns, when we can’t even get existing unemployed
people to move there), welfare services while refugee families transition and
just how many people we can feasibly take. The last point would necessarily
involve extensive dialogues with South East Asian countries. There was not much
talk of such things from left wing groups during the election. Instead, there
was just the chorus of humanitarianism; a line I am sympathetic to but is
rather un-pragmatic. There was also almost no talk whatsoever about managing
the aspects of the current system. What are the greens doing about ending the
detention of children, the separation of families while in detention, the ban
on family reunions for individuals on temporary protection visas that just
encourages more people to get on boats, the abuse of
human rights in detention centres, the appalling staffing of our visa
processing departments and our government’s ridiculous attempts to bypass legal
values that we consider sacrosanct (like no detention without trial)? Not
exerting more pressure on the government on these aspects of the existing
system is an appalling failure on the part of the greens and other progressive
parties in Australia.
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