I identify as a radical centrist. What’s that? The radical
centre is about getting things done. Identify your policy problems and
implement effective solutions. It is about policy pragmatism rather than
normative conviction. It is happy to borrow ideas from any part of the
political spectrum if those ideas are the correct solution to present policy
challenges. It is happy, indeed keen, to combine ideas from across the
political spectrum into hybrid policy designs that achieve bipartisan outcomes.
I define the radical centre in distinction from the
political wings and the hack centre. The wings care more about ideological
purity than pragmatism. Or rather, more generously, they are happy to make bad
deals where they trade off a large amount of one policy objective, say equity,
in order to attain a small amount of their preferred policy objective, say
efficiency.
The hack-centre is interested in centrism as a political
strategy, not as a source of policy solutions. Rather than combining left- and
right-wing policy ideas into viable hybrids, they instead tend to apply left-
and right-wing ideas selectively depending on which one will appeal to affected
voters. For example, deregulating national labour markets but bailing out a
small forestry industry to hold onto a seat. Hack-centrists are interested in
triangulation. They want to wedge the wings. This can be beneficial to policy
when it is done by appealing only to those aspects of wing voters’ preferences
that correspond to sound policy ideas. But it is disastrous if what is done
instead is an appeal to the most ideological dimensions of those voters’
preferences. That is of course populism. A
great example of such hack-centrism was Shorten’s bizarre advertisement into
Queensland about immigration on the heels of Trump’s election. Never mind that immigration
has had only trivial effects on wages in Australia—if it polls well, go for
it, so say the hack-centrists.
Ideological politicians will always be a threat to sound
policy (Wolfgang Schaubel being the most obvious recent example). But I want to
argue that hack-centrists are the biggest threat to policy in the 21st
century.
The 20th century was dominated by ideological
battles. Liberalism miraculously emerged out of the conflict between fascism
and socialism in the World Wars to become the dominant ideology of the second
half of the century. The next fifty years were then defined by a conflict
between welfare-statism and free-market structural adjustment. Politics tended
to swing between parties representing one or the other. I call this the
polarities voting strategy: vote for one side of the spectrum until it doesn’t
seem to be working anymore, then switch sides.
This swinging worked pretty well because most of our policy
challenges in the past half-century involved working out where to apply the
government (left-wing) and where to apply market forces (right-wing). Nowadays
we have these settings more or less correct across most of the OECD (France and
the US being cases where these settings are not right). As such, this
polarities strategy will not work well for the polity in the coming century because
most of our contemporary challenges are complex and require hybrid solutions (combinations
of governments, markets and community) to fix.
Fortunately, while our politicians have an ideological
hangover from the 20th century, voters don’t. They’re keen to elect
policymakers with solutions—they don’t care about ideology. Yanis Varoufakis
and Emmanuelle Macron are clear examples. They are not going to be persuaded by
ideological politicians to commit to stupid ideological policies. For example, carbon
pricing remains popular with the majority of Australians despite all the
ideological attacks on it.
In this context, hack-centrists are dangerous because they
miss the desire for solutions and focus instead on the disinterest in ideology
among voters. They consequently spend an inordinate amount of energy trying to
be noncommittal, polling people to figure out exactly where to slide between left-
and right-wing positions, and how to ‘spin’ their position into a ‘message that
cuts through’. They see the notion of finding a solution that works and
marketing it as too risky because they conflate taking a position with being
ideological. The dominance of hack-centrists among political strategists is a
huge part of why our politics is banal, superficial and obsessed with the media
cycle.
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